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Mapping Latin America's Renewable Energy Transition

10/31/2021

 
The following article and map were originally published by Diálogo Chino and are republished here under a Creative Commons license.

Investment in new fossil fuel production and unabated coal power needs to end this year if the global energy sector is to transition to net-zero emissions by 2050, a recent report by the International Energy Agency (IEA) argued. A net-zero energy sector is viable but requires an “unprecedented transformation” in the way energy is produced, the IEA said.

Momentum for this global energy transition received a major boost on September 21 when China, the last major public financier of overseas coal power, pledged to cut support. Addressing the UN General Assembly in New York, China’s president Xi Jinping also promised backing for developing countries in their pursuit of low-carbon development.  

While slower than other developing regions, Latin America’s energy transition is underway, with unconventional renewables - namely solar, wind, and geothermal - growing their share in countries’ energy mixes. Chile, Uruguay and Costa Rica are among those leading the way and have invested heavily in unconventional renewable energy in recent years. Still, moving away from fossil fuels is proving difficult for a region that derives 75% of its primary energy supply from non-renewables. 
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New Interactive Map
With the region needing to accelerate the clean energy transition and attract financial support for its efforts, Diálogo Chino presents a unique interactive map that plots all of Latin America's networked wind, solar and geothermal energy projects, detailing their installed energy capacity, operational status and ownership.
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Hydropower, a major energy source for many countries, is not included in the dataset. Although considered a renewable source by many, hydropower projects are often associated with adverse impacts on people and biodiversity, involving large-scale deforestation and the relocation of communities who conserve forests. Moreover, their costs and construction typically overrun and changes in rainfall patterns mean that both their long-term reliability as an energy source and bankability as investments are far from assured. 

The data, which was compiled by cross-checking information from state sources, operating companies, industrial guilds and press releases, is intended to serve as a reference point for those hoping to understand Latin American countries’ progress in the clean energy transition. The information on the locations, financial backers and power sources helps build up a clearer picture of the main motors behind it.

Latin America’s renewable energy transition
Our map plots 850 non-hydro renewable energy plants in 24 Latin American and Caribbean countries for which we were able to collect data. For Brazil and Mexico, we set the minimum installed capacity for a project’s inclusion in the dataset at 50MW, owing to the sheer number of smaller projects. Of our total, solar power accounts for 49% while 46% are wind. The remainder is geothermal. More than three-quarters of the projects are owned by private companies. Chile accounts for almost a quarter of all projects on our map (24%), followed by Brazil (21%), Mexico (14%) and Argentina (9%). 

Over 80% of Chile’s plants are solar. In Uruguay, wind accounts for the same share. Argentina has a more even distribution, with 60% wind and 40% solar. These three countries have seen a big push for renewable energy in recent years, including the inauguration of Cauchari, Latin America’s largest solar plant - for now. 

Brazil’s northeast is seemingly on the cusp a solar revolution, with seven projects with an installed capacity of 1GW or more in the pipeline, including a major cluster in Juazeiro, Bahia, which has ideal climatic conditions, and the largest, Aurora Energia’s 5700MW plant in Matias Cardoso, Pernambuco. These are also located within the Caatinga biome. 86% of finance for wind and solar projects in Brazil comes from the private sector

Private capital is also leading the renewable energy transition in Brazil, financing 154, or 86%, of all projects. Only 8% of finance comes from state-owned companies – either Brazilian or Chinese. China is the only foreign country providing state finance to companies investing in solar and wind projects above 50MW in Brazil. In the Amazon region, Brazil has no projects of this size.

Mexico has a large concentration of wind farms in the south of Oaxaca state and most farms are located in the Yucatán peninsula in the eastern part of the country. Solar projects run down the middle of Mexico and also the north, where there is high long-term potential for photovoltaic power, according to the Global Solar Atlas. Despite high-levels of solar irradiation in such states as Sinaloa, there are no solar plants. Nor are there wind projects. In these states, governance is weak and security is a major concern.

The Andean region’s energy transition appears to be progressing slower than other Latin American sub-regions. Peru’s Amazon has only one renewable energy plant; the Atalaya Photovoltaic Solar Power Plant, while all others are located on the southern coast of the country, in the desert that extends into Chile. 

Set to be inaugurated in 2023, Bolivia’s 100MW Laguna Colorada Geothermal Power Plant will be the largest renewable energy project in the country, generating 50% of the country’s non-hydro renewable energy. All projects - operational or under construction - are in the hands of ENDE, Bolivia's national electricity company. 

Colombia has 38 projects under construction but only one currently operational wind plant, on the northern tip of La Guajira department. There have already been reported conflicts with indigenous communities over wind development in Colombia, which is set to expand considerably. Over the border in Venezuela, one single plant represents the country's only operational unconventional energy project. The country derives around 70% of its energy from the Guri hydroelectric plant.

Ecuador’s Galapagos Islands stand out in deriving all their energy needs from wind and solar energy projects. 

Renewable energy goals
It is technically and economically feasible to scale up renewable power in Latin America. Under a scenario set out by the International Renewable Energy Agency in which the global energy system is consistent with the Paris Agreement, 93% of the region’s electricity would come from renewable energy in 2050. 

This energy transition would not only clean up the grid but also boost the economy. A report last year by the Inter-American Development Bank (IADB) found that decarbonisation will generate 15 million new jobs overall and an additional 100,000 full-time jobs in the renewable electricity sector by 2030, compared to projections based on current trends.

There are many questions to be answered around China’s signal of greater support for renewables in developing nations. For example, it is as yet unknown whether the pledge includes hydropower. For Latin America, it could represent an opportunity to capitalise on the availability of new finance that enables it to reach its decarbonisation goals. 
 

Data compiled by Emilio Godoy, Damián Profeta, Jorge Chávez, Sarita Reed and Vinícius Henrique Fontana, with support from Robert Soutar, Fermín Koop, Alejandra Cuéllar, Jack Lo, Lívia Machado Costa and Flávia Milhorance. Map designed by Julia Janicki.

Latin America Projected to Add More Than 10GW of Wind and Solar in 2021

10/31/2021

 
Wind and solar installations in Latin America will bounce back in 2021 after a pandemic-related slowdown in 2020, according to analysis by Bloomberg New Energy Finance (Bloomberg NEF). Bloomberg NEF projects that new wind and solar installations will exceed 10 gigawatts (GW) for the first time in the region. They further project "around 30GW of total new additions through 2023, boosting cumulative utility-scale wind and solar capacity of 48GW today by two thirds."
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Ecuador Announces Two New Renewable Energy Auctions, Increases Country’s Solar Generation Capacity

9/20/2021

 
The government of Ecuador this month announced two new renewable energy auctions for a total allocation of 1 GW, according to PV Magazine. The first auction will be held at the end of November 2021 for 500 MW, an estimated investment of $750 million with projects required to be operational at the beginning of 2024. The second auction for an additional 500 MW is planned for 2022.
 
Last year, in its December 2020 renewable energy auction, the government awarded Solarpack Corporación Tecnológica, S.A. a long-term concession contract for the 258 MW solar PV project, El Aromo, located in the province of Manabí. This project will significantly increase solar generation capacity in Ecuador.
 
GlobalData, a data and analytics company, projects strong growth in Ecuador’s solar capacity during this decade: “With an expected growth of about 15% over the decade, an optimistic scenario reflects a situation where annual installations pick up the pace every year starting from 2023 …[with] cumulative installed capacity of more than 4GW by 2030.”
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New Report Highlights Renewables Development in El Salvador

12/29/2020

 
A new report highlights key actions that could improve conditions for renewable energy development in El Salvador.

​Released in December 2020, Renewables Readiness Assessment: El Salvador (English (full report) | Spanish (summary)) is based on a study undertaken by the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) in collaboration with the Executive Hydroelectric Commission of the Lempa River (CEL – Comisión Ejecutiva Hidroeléctrica del Río Lempa) and the National Energy Council (CNE – Consejo Nacional de Energía).

The release states: "El Salvador has prioritised renewable energy projects to reduce its dependence on imported fossil fuels and improve energy security. The National Energy Policy 2010-2024 has become a key tool for the country to advance the use of indigenous renewables, including hydropower, biomass, solar photovoltaic (PV) and geothermal power."

Key recommendations of the report include: 
  • Enhance long-term planning and policy for the renewable energy sector
  • Create enabling conditions for geothermal energy development
  • Establish clear institutional frameworks and co-ordination
  • Assess the implementation of distributed power generation
  • Foster project development and financing for renewables
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Sustainable Energy Guide for Caribbean Countries Highlights Economic, Resiliency, and Security Benefits of Clean Energy Transition

9/17/2020

 
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In August 2020, Sustainable Energy for All (SEforALL) released The Recover Better with Sustainable Energy Guide for Caribbean Countries. 

The guide "shows how sustainable energy investment can support Caribbean countries to 'Recover Better’ [from the COVID-19 pandemic] and accelerate a clean energy transition to deliver long-term economic growth and new jobs." The following information is from the press release. The full guide is available here.

"According to the guide, the Caribbean region has a historic opportunity to transition from a fossil fuel-based economy to one powered by resilient, decentralized, clean energy. Currently, the Caribbean power sector is heavily dependent on imported fossil fuels and has some of the highest electricity costs in the world. Under an ambitious recover better strategy, Caribbean countries should aspire to invest as much as 25 percent of their stimulus budgets for on-grid and off-grid renewable energy – through a combination of solar, hydro and wind. Accelerating this transition will also generate significant economic growth, with an estimated annual saving of USD 9 billion in fuel costs if all 31 countries in the Caribbean move to 90 percent clean energy by 2030."

'This investment will also help grow the region’s resilience and energy security to deal with the impacts of climate change and extreme weather, which Caribbean countries are particularly vulnerable to. In addition to high electricity costs, centralized electricity systems have shown to be weak during extreme weather events with devastating effect. Off-grid systems, such as solar-based mini-grids, can keep critical services like health facilities connected when the centralized system fails. A renewable energy future also helps support faster progress on the Paris Agreement."

“'As Caribbean countries continue to respond to the impacts of COVID-19, they have a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to ‘Recover Better’ with sustainable energy to support greater energy resilience and security,' said  Damilola Ogunbiyi, CEO and Special Representative of the UN Secretary-General for Sustainable Energy for All and Co-Chair of UN-Energy. 'By investing in sustainable energy, countries can use this moment to move away from a fossil fuel-based economy to one powered by clean energy that will provide cheaper electricity for consumers and help support the vital tourism industry in the region.'  Countries that commit to an ambitious recover better strategy will benefit from increased GDP, affordable energy provision, and improved gender and health outcomes. Investment in distributed energy resources will not only benefit the electricity systems and communities, but also support tourism across the region – a core industry for Caribbean countries. From supporting food cold chains to powering businesses, local renewable resources and energy efficiency measures can enhance competitiveness, lower energy costs, increase resilience and stimulate the local industry.  

"The new Recover Better with Sustainable Energy Guide from SEforALL highlights key policy measures Caribbean governments should adopt to ensure a successful energy transition in this period, including:
  • Robust policies and institutions in support of renewables and energy efficiency: To deliver strong growth of renewables and energy efficiency, governments should establish or empower institutions such as regulators and other relevant agencies and ensure the right frameworks are in place to successfully drive the development of renewables and energy efficiency. 
  • Shifting electricity sector investments to renewable energy plus storage: For power generation, new investments in renewables are cheaper than new investments in fossil fuels in all major markets today. By adding storage, Caribbean countries can increase resilience, use homegrown energy, avoid creating future fossil fuel stranded assets and reduce the significant negative consequences both to the public’s health and to the fragile ecosystems of the region. With continuing cost reductions, renewables plus storage are now cheaper for many Caribbean countries than conventional fossil fuels – providing reliable power for up to 14 hours a day.  
  • Invest in energy efficiency: Investment in energy efficiency saves on energy bills, creates jobs and is the cheapest way to reduce emissions. For instance, cold chains are integral to the tourism and agriculture sector of the Caribbean region, and energy efficient cold chain systems would ensure not only significant cost savings for businesses, but also strengthen food security across a region that is vulnerable to various climate risks.  
  • Ease of doing business: Several activities can be put in place to ensure that investments are driven as fast as possible, including faster approval processes and transparent investment policies (price discovery, reverse auctions etc.) for renewable energy and energy efficiency. Fiscal incentives such as reducing or eliminating import duties and VAT for renewable energy equipment and energy efficient appliances should also be considered."
"Other key recommendations outlined in The Recover Better with Sustainable Energy Guide for Caribbean Countries include investing in robust data, eliminating fossil fuel subsidies, moving towards cost-reflective tariffs and investing in people so they can take advantage of new clean energy jobs"


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IRENA Invites Renewable Energy Developers to Register Projects on Climate Investment Platform

3/9/2020

 
The International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) invites renewable energy project developers to register projects that are seeking financing on the Climate Investment Platform, a global multi-stakeholder initiative to mobilize investments at the necessary scale to achieve meaningful progress towards climate objectives.

The Climate Investment Platform is organized around 14 regional clusters, including:
  • Central America
  • South America
  • Caribbean Islands

Each regional cluster and investor forum supports matchmaking between projects, project developers, and potential financiers and investors. Renewable energy projects, along with renewable-based electricity grid and energy efficiency projects, may be considered for support.
 
IRENA’s Investment Forums will be structured around three main phases:
  • Phase 1: Development of a project pipeline
  • Phase 2: Investment Forum event
  • ​Phase 3: Post-forum project support
More details on each phase are available at this link. 

Climate Investment Platform

The following information is from the IRENA website: "The Climate Investment Platform (CIP) is a global initiative, announced on the occasion of the UN Secretary General’s Climate Action Summit in September 2019, by the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA), the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) and Sustainable Energy for All (SE4All), in co-operation with the Green Climate Fund (GCF). The CIP is an inclusive partnership welcoming all stakeholders, from governments and international organizations to the private sector, to scale up climate action and translate ambitious national climate targets into concrete investments on the ground. Working collectively and together with all interested partners, the CIP aims to mobilise investments at the necessary scale to achieve meaningful progress towards climate objectives. The CIP will initially focus on energy transition, with the ultimate goal of accelerating investments in renewable energy and enabling the realisation of the ambitious Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs)."

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Source: IRENA

Climate and Clean Energy Updates from COP25: Progress Continues Despite US Withdrawal

12/29/2019

 
Despite the announced withdrawal by the Trump Administration of the United States from the Paris Agreement, climate and clean energy progress continues across the Americas. The following are some of the significant announcements by national and sub-national governments at the United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP 25) held in December 2019 in Madrid, Spain.

America's Pledge, a coalition of U.S. states, cities, businesses, communities of faith, universities, health care and cultural institutions, and other organizations confirmed their commitment to fulfill America’s climate pledge to the world. The latest America's Pledge report, released on December 9, 2019, projects two emissions reductions scenarios based on city, state, business, and federal adoption of ambitious climate action policies:
  • Bottom-Up: The first scenario involves a coalition of states, cities, and businesses deploying aggressive best-practice climate policies informed by the ongoing action of current climate leaders. This is projected to reduce emissions 37 percent below 2005 levels by 2030.
  • All-In: The second scenario involves a reengaged federal government layering aggressive, post-2020 climate action onto the bottom-up efforts outlined in scenario one. This would put the U.S. on track to reduce emissions 49 percent below 2005 levels by 2030, in line with the Paris Agreement, and lay the foundation for a net-zero emissions economy by 2050.

Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, Guatemala, Haiti, Honduras, Paraguay and Peru officially declared their commitment to a collective regional objective of 70 percent of renewable energy by 2030. The target was originally announced in November in Peru and will increase renewable energy generation from the current level of 56 percent, with a focus on non-conventional renewable energies. OLADE, the Latin American Energy Organization, will coordinate the initiative and provide data and a platform for countries to develop a work plan to implement the target. (OLADE 12/10/2019) [reprinted from NRDC Latin America Green News]

Twelve renewable energy associations from Argentina, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, Peru, Uruguay and Spain signed an agreement to work together to promote renewable energy as a climate change mitigation solution. As part of the Ibero-american Renewable Energy Alliance, the 12 associations will work to replace fossil fuels, build “respectful, harmonious and constructive relations with communities in the areas where projects are developed," and support competition. ACERA, the Chilean Renewable Energy Association, has assumed the General Coordination of the alliance for one year, with the option of re-election for an additional consecutive period. (Revista Electricidad 12/10/2019) [reprinted from NRDC Latin America Green News]  

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​Photo: United Nations Climate Change - COP25, https://unfccc.int/cop25

Colombia and Chile Announce Electric Vehicle Programs

9/30/2019

 
Colombia and Chile recently announced electric vehicle programs. The following updates are from NRDC's Latin America Green News.*

  • President Ivan Duque presented Colombia’s new National Electric and Sustainable Mobility Strategy, noting the plan will bring about a “revolution” in the country’s vehicle fleet. Under the new plan, Colombia aims to have 600,000 electric vehicles in circulation by 2030. The strategy calls for financial incentives such as an import tariff exemption for electric vehicles, a 10 percent reduction in insurance premiums for obligatory accident coverage, and lower vehicle inspection fees. In addition, 20 rapid charging stations will be installed in Bogota and a minimum of five will be installed in the country’s other large municipalities.  Duque recently signed Law 164 which sets the goal of having public transport systems purchase 100% EV or zero emission vehicles by 2035. (El Diario 08/28/2019; MinAmbiente 08/28/2019)
 
  • Meanwhile, in Chile, the Ministry of Energy and the Sustainable Energy Agency launched a pilot project to promote electromobility in private companies. Five companies from the mining, delivery, insurance, financial and forestry sectors will participate in the pilot initiative to test technologies. The information and experience generated during the pilot will then be shared with others to help expand the use of electric vehicles to new market players. In this first stage, the participating companies are Codelco, Chilexpress, Seguros Sura, BCI Bank and CMPC Forestry and Paper Company.(PV Magazine 08/28/2019)

* Latin America Green News is a selection of weekly news highlights about environmental and energy issues in Latin America. It is prepared by the Natural Resources Defense Council's (NRDC) Latin America Project. For a free email subscription, please sign up here. 

Climatescope Report: Developing Nations Are Leading the Global Clean Power Transition

12/28/2018

 
Climatescope 2018 is a report by Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF) that compiles and analyzes data on clean energy deployment, investment, and government policies in 103 developing nations. According to the report, developing nations are now leading the global clean power transition.

Key findings include the following:
​
  • Renewables: For the first time, renewables accounted for the majority of all new power-generating capacity added in developing countries
  • Financings: In 2017, new clean energy financings in emerging markets totaled $143 billion (Figure 1). Foreign direct investment supporting clean energy rose to an all-time high of $21.4 billion. 
  • Costs: Clean energy costs continue to fall, making clean energy technologies competitive with fossil generation in many markets. Over 35 emerging markets have held reverse auctions for clean power-delivery contracts to date, including Mexico ($21/MWh for PV) and India ($41/MWh; wind). BNEF's estimated levelized cost of electricity for wind and solar is below $50 for many developing nations.
  • Coal Trends: In 2017, new coal-fired capacity additions fell to their lowest level in over a decade, but actual generation from existing coal-fired plants rose 4%.
  • Challenges: Challenges include how to address the continued reliance on coal - particularly in China and India - and how to effectively integrate large amounts of low cost intermittent clean electricity into existing market structures.
The Climatescope analysis ranked Chile as the top nation for clean energy investment due to "strong government policies, a demonstrated track record of clean energy investment, and a commitment to de-carbonization despite grid constraints." 

​Climatescope's free searchable database with profiles of all 103 countries can be accessed here. 

Figure 1: Developing Country Clean Energy Investment
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Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance. Includes 100 non-OECD nations plus Chile, Mexico, and Turkey.

Solar PV Wins 80% of Brazil's Power Supply Auction with Average Price of $35/MWh

4/30/2018

 
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Brazil awarded 1,024.5 MW of clean power supply contracts in an energy auction held on April 4, 2018.

Reflecting solar's increasingly competitive pricing in Brazil, solar PV accounted for approximately 80% of total contracted capacity (806.6 MW). The final average price for solar was 118 BRL (US$35.2)/MWh, according to a report in PV Magazine.

The remaining capacity was allocated to wind (114.4 MW), biomass (61.8 MW), and small hydro projects (41.6 MW).

The April 2018 auction was the fifth national auction in Brazil that included solar PV. In the previous four auctions held between 2014 and 2017, a total of approximately 3.5 GW of large-scale PV capacity was allocated.

Also in April, Brazil's Ministry of Mines and Energy announced plans to hold a new energy auction on August 31, 2018 to contract power from wind, hydro, and thermal plants (biomass, natural gas and coal). The government will award power purchase agreements (PPA) with a term of 30 years for hydro, 20 years for wind, and 25 years for the other sources, according to a report in Renewables Now.
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